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Salud Pública de México

Print version ISSN 0036-3634

Abstract

STERN, Dalia; LAJOUS, Martin; ROSA, Blanca De la  and  GOLDSTEIN, Edward. On the increasing incidence of SARSCoV-2 in older adolescents and younger adults during the epidemic in Mexico. Salud pública Méx [online]. 2021, vol.63, n.3, pp.422-428.  Epub Feb 20, 2023. ISSN 0036-3634.  https://doi.org/10.21149/11817.

Objective:

To estimate temporary changes in the incidence of SARS-CoV-2-confirmed hospitalizations (by date of symptom onset) by age group during and after the national lockdown.

Materials and methods:

For each age group g, we computed the proportion E(g) of individuals in that age group among all cases aged 10-59y during the early lockdown period (April 20-May 3, 2020), and the corresponding proportion L(g) during the late lockdown (May 18-31, 2020) and post-lockdown (June 15-28, 2020) periods and computed the prevalence ratio: PR(g)=L(g)/E(g).

Results:

For the late lockdown and post-lockdown periods, the highest PR values were found in age groups 15-19y (late: PR=1.69, 95%CI 1.05,2.72; post-lockdown: PR=2.05, 1.30,3.24) and 20-24y (late: PR=1.43, 1.10,1.86; post-lockdown: PR=1.49, 1.15,1.93). These estimates were higher in individuals 15-24y compared to those ≥30y.

Conclusions:

Adolescents and younger adults had an increased relative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 during late lockdown and post-lockdown periods. The role of these age groups should be considered when implementing future pandemic response efforts.

Keywords : SARS-CoV-2; Mexico; age distribution; incidence; mitigation; lockdown.

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