Abstract

RAMIREZ, José Carlos  and  SOTA RIVA, Marcela de la. The poor face of diabetes in Mexico. Inv. Econ [online]. 2018, vol.77, n.305, pp.3-39. ISSN 0185-1667.  https://doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2018.305.67472.

This paper aims at modeling the dynamics of social deprivations (SD) of the Mexican poor population in order to differentiate their material living conditions in the presence or absence of diabetes mellitus 2 (DM2). The idea is to offer evidence on the influence of some community economic and social factors in the chain of causes conditioning the development of DM2 among the poor. For this purpose, we hypothesize that the probabilities of experiencing SD in the Mexican population are higher in individuals with DM2 depending on the type of localities, SD and clinical risk factors considered. The main results drawn from a hidden Markov model support the hypothesis that a part of the poor population, which is rural and diabetic, is the one with the highest probability (current and future) of experiencing SD in Mexico.

Keywords : Hidden Markov models; social deprivations; diabetes; economic and social risk-factors; dependent-state probabilities; ergodic vectors.