Services on Demand
Journal
Article
Indicators
- Cited by SciELO
- Access statistics
Related links
- Similars in SciELO
Share
Investigación económica
Print version ISSN 0185-1667
Abstract
TSOULFIDIS, Lefteris and TSALIKI, Persefoni. The Long Recession and Economic Consequences of The Covid-19 Pandemic. Inv. Econ [online]. 2022, vol.81, n.321, pp.3-29. Epub June 02, 2023. ISSN 0185-1667. https://doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2022.321.81476.
In this article, we argue the rate of profit in combination with the movement of the real net profits determines the phase-change of the economy in its long cyclical pattern. Since WWII, the US and the world economy have experienced two such long cycles. The pandemic COVID-19 has deepened a recession that has been already underway since 2007. The growth rates in the first post-pandemic years are expected to be high; however, soon after, the economies will find themselves back to their old recessionary growth paths. The onset of a new long-cycle requires the restoration of profitability, which can be sustained only through the introduction of ‘disruptive’ innovations backed by suitable institutional arrangements.
Keywords : Long recession; secular stagnation; pandemic; long cycles; institutional changes; disruptive innovations; B5; D33; E1; N12; O51.