Abstract

LAZCANO TREJO, Juan Roberto; LLATA GOMEZ, Roberto de la  and  OBREGON BIOSCA, Saúl Antonio. Variables Explaining the Modal Shift in Public Transport Use Due to COVID-19 in an Urban Environment in Queretaro. Invest. Geog [online]. 2022, n.109, e60590.  Epub May 29, 2023. ISSN 2448-7279.  https://doi.org/10.14350/rig.60590.

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a great impact on the way we move due to the constant risk of contracting the virus and the social distancing measures and restrictions implemented by the authorities, which has generated changes in modal travel behaviors due to the perception of COVID-19. Therefore, the objective of this research is to identify the variables that are significant to explain the relationship between sociodemographic, travel and comprehensive perception variables by COVID-19, with modal shift, in the forced urban mobility of public transport users. For the above, the sociodemographic, travel and integral perception characteristics of travelers are considered to estimate a binary logistic regression model based on data from 365 valid questionnaires applied in the Benito Juarez Industrial Park (PIBJ), located in the Urban Zone of Santiago de Queretaro, Mexico. The results show that occupation, travel time, degree of knowledge of the consequences of becoming infected, the possibility of becoming infected on and off public transport, and whether it is considered risky to use public transport, are variables that are significantly related to modal shift in public transport users during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Keywords : modal shift; public transport; urban mobility; binary logistics model; perception of COVID-19.

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