Abstract

ARGOTE CUSI, Milenka Linneth. Estimation of the statistical distribution of the global rate of fecundity. Pap. poblac [online]. 2007, vol.13, n.54, pp.87-113. ISSN 2448-7147.

Bootstrap method has been applied to generate statistical distribution of global fertility rate (GFR). In this research the demography and health national survey of Bolivia in 1998 was used as it was the most recent fertility survey available up to February 2005, this survey has a stratified and bietapic design. According Kolmogorov Smirnov test of global fertility rate statistical distribution there is not enough evidence to reject normality of resampling distribution. The global fertility rate is a biased estimator but standardized biased is lower than the coefficient of variation then it is consistent. The confidence intervals are consistent and show a convergent tendency. In spite of the GFR confidence interval under normal assumption includes with high probability the parameter value, bootstrap method allows finding more accurate estimations. This method is useful to evaluate sampling error and the bias of estimations.

Keywords : bootstrap; bias evaluation; estimation; global fertility rate; Bolivia.