Abstract

ABURTO, José Manuel  and  GARCIA-GUERRERO, Víctor Manuel. The additive double multiplicative model: An application to the mexican mortality. Pap. poblac [online]. 2015, vol.21, n.84, pp.9-44. ISSN 2448-7147.

The Lee-Carter method has been adopted in several countries to estimate and forecast mortality rates by age and period. Such popularity is mainly due to its parsimony. Moreover, this model has been successful for several countries (Mexico, Chile, the U.S., G7 countries, etc.). Furthermore, the model proposed by Wilmoth called Additive Double Multiplicative involves the same function and incorporates the cohort effects. In this paper both methods are applied and compared to the historical Mexican mortality.

Keywords : Mexican mortality; mortality estimates; additive double multiplicative model; Lee-Carter model; demographic methods.

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