Abstract

HERNANDEZ PONCE, Luis Enrique  and  GONZALEZ, Marino J.. Urban Development and Social Stratification as Predictors of Overcrowding and Internet Access in Housing. Public Policy Implications for Venezuela. Revista Col. San Luis [online]. 2022, vol.12, n.23, 00020.  Epub May 27, 2024. ISSN 2007-8846.  https://doi.org/10.21696/rcsl122320221407.

The objective of this research was to evaluate if the urban conditions predict variations in overcrowding and telematic equipment in Venezuelan homes. Using data from the Living Conditions Survey (2014, 2017), two trail analysis models were built, where urban conditions, city size and social stratification were exogenous variables; housing conditions was the mediator, and telematic equipment and overcrowding were the result variables. The predictor variable with the greatest weight was urban conditions, followed by social stratification, while city size had low influence. The comparison of direct and indirect effects on the outcome variables highlighted the importance of urban development to support housing. The data available for the construction of the models was restricted to 2014 and 2017; which coincides with the beginning of the humanitarian crisis suffered by the country. Better urban conditions predict reductions in overcrowding and increases in telematics equipment and Internet access, with housing conditions as the mediating variable. Social policies must prioritize investment in urban improvements before massive housing construction. The work is a contribution to the understanding of housing social policy under the critical multiplism approach proposed by W. N. Dunn.

Keywords : urban deficit; housing conditions; path analysis; overcrowding; telematic equipment.

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