Abstract

RODRIGUEZ GOMEZ, Katya  and  PATRON SANCHEZ, Fernando. The dynamics of poverty in Mexico (2002-2012): transient vs. chronic poverty. Intersticios sociales [online]. 2022, n.23, pp.199-235.  Epub Apr 04, 2022. ISSN 2007-4964.  https://doi.org/10.55555/is.23.405.

This paper analyses the dynamics of poverty in Mexico from 2002 to 2012 based on the results of Mexico’s National Survey of the Quality of Life in Homes (Encuesta Nacional sobre el Nivel de Vida de los Hogares). Our objectives were, first, to determine the principal differences between the categories of chronic and transient poverty and, second, analyze two key issues: which social groups are found mainly in one category situation or the other; and the influence of work, social policy, and sociodemographic characteristics on people’s ability to transcend poverty. We used a multinomial logistic regression model to explore the relation between trajectories of poverty and the independent variables selected in order to estimate the specific influence of each variable on those trajectories. The main findings reveal significant differences between the chronic and transient poor in the study period, and that the factors of social class and work in the formal economy carry greater weight for the transient poor than social policy and the other sociodemographic characteristics pondered. The paper ends with some recommendations for social policy based on our analysis.

Keywords : poverty dynamic; Mexico; chronic poverty; transient poverty; social policy.