Abstract

EVIA VIZCARRA, José Luis  and  FERNANDEZ MOSCOSO, Miguel. Reforma de pensiones y determinantes de la afiliación al seguro social de largo plazo en Bolivia. El trimestre econ [online]. 2005, vol.72, n.287, pp.655-677.  Epub Dec 05, 2022. ISSN 2448-718X.  https://doi.org/10.20430/ete.v72i287.575.

By 1996 the "pay as you go" pension system in Bolivia had gone bankruptcy. An important Pension Reform was enforced the same year. This paper analyses some important characteristics of old pension system, which led the system to bankruptcy, and some relevant incentives included in new system, aimed at raising covertures of the long run security. Risk factors of new system are also discussed, specially fiscal insolvency.

Long run social security in Bolivia has protected a very low proportion of the active labour force, both before and after pensions reform. However the new system has increased modestly the percentage of protected workers. In order to identify the determinants of probability of being insured a probit model was estimated. After pension's reform some variables as average of worked hours per day, years of work at the same working-place, and sex have been eliminated as predictors of the mentioned probability.

Keywords : reforma de pensiones; afiliación al sistema de pensiones.

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