Abstract

JUAREZ-LUNA, David  and  URDIALES, Eduardo. Participation of photovoltaic electricity in Mexico towards the year 2050: A Delphi study. The Anáhuac j. [online]. 2022, vol.22, n.2, pp.72-99.  Epub Feb 20, 2023. ISSN 2683-2690.  https://doi.org/10.36105/theanahuacjour.2022v22n2.03.

This paper aims to carry out a prospective of the participation of solar photovoltaic (PV) power in the national energy basket by the year 2050. To do this, we used the Delphi method, which is based on consulting experts in the PV sector. Among the results obtained, the following stand out: 1) 89 % of the experts think that the participation of PV electricity will grow in the energy mix of Mexico; 2) PV electricity generation will enrich the national power system for various advantages, such as the implementation of complex PV system projects and interconnected PV farms; 3) 78 % of the experts estimate that the generation of PV electricity will have a positive effect on the gross domestic product. Present analysis suggests that, to materialize the prospective advantages of PV electricity generation towards the year, it is urgent to develop a national plan to promote it.

Keywords : generation; power; solar photovoltaic; Delphi study; prospective.

        · abstract in Spanish     · text in Spanish     · Spanish ( pdf )