Resumen

CASTRO-HERNANDEZ, Felipe de Jesús. The geosimulation, a tool for the prevention of traffic accidents. Ing. invest. y tecnol. [online]. 2018, vol.19, n.2, pp.135-145. ISSN 2594-0732.  https://doi.org/10.22201/fi.25940732e.2018.19n2.012.

In Mexico, traffic accidents are a public health problem reaching the second leading cause of fatal injuries among people between 5 and 29 years old. One of the methodologies used to understand and prevent such problem is the use of quantitative models, being the most common the static type. Their main characteristic is that this model does not considers the dynamic interaction of its variables over time, such as those based in geographic information systems and neural networks. This paper addresses the issue and proposes a dynamic type model based on the geosimulation, in which all elements interact with each other and with the environment. To learn the advantages of dynamic models in comparison to the static ones, the author made a patterned representation of the North Insurgentes Avenue in Mexico City. The proposed dynamic model achieved the best relation to the real number of accidents, a result that no static method previously achieved. In addition, the author also analyzed different scenarios by changing the variables involved and then it was possible to observe new unforeseen behaviors. Hence, the author validates that the dynamic type model, based on geosimulation is the best model to represent and predict fatal traffic accidents. The technical contribution was the adaptation of the agent-based platform in the representation of traffic accidents.

Palabras llave : Traffic accidents; geosimulation; agent-based modeling; geographic information systems; dynamic models; traffix.