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EconoQuantum

versión On-line ISSN 2007-9869versión impresa ISSN 1870-6622

Resumen

BUCIO-PACHECO, C.; SOSA-CASTRO, M.  y  REYES-ZARATE, F.. Dynamic volatility of bank stock returns in Mexico: DCC-GARCH vs Copula-GARCH approaches. EconoQuantum [online]. 2023, vol.20, n.2, pp.69-93.  Epub 17-Mayo-2024. ISSN 2007-9869.  https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v20i2.7289.

Objective:

To analyze the dynamics of volatility among the main banks in Mexico.

Methodology:

Two complementary methodologies are used: i) DCC-GARCH and ii) Rolling window Copula-GARCH. Weekly closing stock prices of stocks among four of the main banks are used: BBVA, Citi-Banamex, Banorte and Inbursa, from January 27, 2009 to October 29, 2021.

Results:

The results confirm a time-varying correlation.

Limitations:

The main limitation is that we have not been able to include more banks due to the evolution of their prices.

Originality:

The originality lies in the contrast of the results, but these are more restrictive as the distribution optimally captures the behavior of the data.

Conclusions:

We conclude that different volatility patterns encourage investment decisions that consider potential losses and promote porfolio diversification.

Palabras llave : Dynamic Volatility; Bank Stock Returns; Mexican Stock Exchange; DCC-GARCH; Copula-GARCH; G11; G21; G32.

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