Supply Chain Disruptions Propagation Caused by Criminal Acts

 

M.G. Cedillo-Campos*¹, G. Pérez-Salas², A. Bueno-Solano³, R.G. González-Ramírez⁴ and E. Jiménez-Sánchez⁵

 

^1,3,5 Mexican Institute of Transportation (IMT), Km 12 Carretera Querétaro-Galindo, 76700, Sanfandila, Queretaro, México.*gaston.cedillo@mexico-logistico.org

² Infrastructure Services Unit, Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), United Nations (UN), Av. Dag Hammarskjold 3477 Vitacura, Santiago de Chile, Chile.

⁴ Escuela de Ingeniería Industrial, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Av. Brasil 2251, Valparaíso, Chile.

 

ABSTRACT

To understand disruptions and their propagation along the supply chains is becoming critical for designing competitive global supply chains operating in emerging economies. It leads to economic damages to every organization involved in a supply chain, but it also decreases national logistics competitiveness. This research provides numerical elements in terms of significance of the security issue in Latin America, and at the same time, proposes a system dynamics assessment model based on real-life information, able to establish analysis scenarios in order to measure the impacts derived of supply chain disruptions propagation caused by criminal acts. Finally, useful conclusions for designing more resilient supply chains and future research are exposed.

Keywords: supply chain, disruption propagation, system dynamics, risk management, emerging markets.

 

RESUMEN

Entender las disrupciones y su propagación a lo largo de las cadenas de suministro se ha vuelto crítico para el diseño de cadenas de suministro globales operando en economías emergentes. Esto no solo implican pérdidas económicas a cualquier organización involucrada en una cadena de suministro, sino que además disminuye la competitividad logística nacional. Este trabajo provee elementos numéricos de la importancia de la seguridad en América Latina y al mismo tiempo, propone un modelo de evaluación desde la metodología de dinámica de sistemas con base en información real, capaz de establecer escenarios para medir los impactos relacionados de la propagación de interrupciones en la cadena de suministro causados por actos criminales. Finalmente, se presentan conclusiones para el diseño de cadenas de suministro más resilientes, así como propuestas de investigación futura.

 

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