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Gaceta médica de México
versión On-line ISSN 2696-1288versión impresa ISSN 0016-3813
Resumen
CERNUDA-MARTINEZ, José A. y FERNANDEZ-GARCIA, Andrea. Estimation of the number of preventable COVID-19 deaths in relation to the restrictive measures adopted in America. Gac. Méd. Méx [online]. 2021, vol.157, n.3, pp.234-239. Epub 13-Sep-2021. ISSN 2696-1288. https://doi.org/10.24875/gmm.20000625.
Introduction:
In America, the United States was particularly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Objectives:
To estimate how many daily COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 population would have been avoided if each one of five restrictive measures had been implemented at the time of diagnosis and to estimate a multiple linear regression model predictive of the number of deaths per 100,000 population based on the measures adopted by the countries.
Methods:
A simple linear regression was performed between the days elapsed since the first COVID-19 diagnosed case and the implementation of each of the five restrictive measures by the 27 American countries studied and the number of COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 population.
Results:
For each day between the first COVID-19 reported case and the adoption of restrictive measures, between 0.250 (p = 0.021) and 0.600 (p = 0.001) patients per 100,000 population died, depending on the measure in question.
Conclusions:
Adoption of restrictive measures and social distancing are necessary for reducing the number of people infected with COVID-19 and their mortality. In addition, promptness of their establishment is essential in order to reduce the number of deaths.
Palabras llave : COVID-19; Mortality; Public health.