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Estudios demográficos y urbanos

versão On-line ISSN 2448-6515versão impressa ISSN 0186-7210

Resumo

SILVA, Eliud; ISLAS-CAMARGO, Alejandro  e  GUERRERO, Víctor M.. Life expectancy around the male mortality hump in Mexico, with controlled smoothing by segments. Estud. demogr. urbanos [online]. 2022, vol.37, n.1, pp.307-346.  Epub 02-Maio-2022. ISSN 2448-6515.  https://doi.org/10.24201/edu.v37i1.2054.

Temporary life expectancies are estimated around the male mortality hump for the Mexican case at the state level, for 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015. Controlled smoothing by segments is used to guarantee comparability and mitigate the outlier effect, depending on expected underlying mortality. The results indicate that the life expectancies are unequal and, in some cases, even worse to that of year 2000. In addition, the present proposal achieves a better fit as compared to several mortality parametric models, such as the Heligman and Pollard model.

Palavras-chave : mortality; trend; temporary life expectancy; controlled smoothing; mortality hump.

        · resumo em Espanhol     · texto em Espanhol