Resumo

FUENTES-LOPEZ, Martha E.; GARCIA-SALAZAR, J. Alberto; ZAMUDIO-SANCHEZ, Francisco J.  e  MATUS-GARDEA, J. Arturo. Policies that affect the competitiveness of sawn wood production in Mexico. Madera bosques [online]. 2008, vol.14, n.2, pp.29-39. ISSN 2448-7597.

Mexican sawn wood is facing a lack of competitiveness with respect to imported wood. Over the period 1993-1995 average national production was able to supply 80% of the national consumption whereas by the period 2001-2003 only was capable of supplying 24%. In order to determine the factors that could revert this tendency, a non linear programming model was used. Results indicate that if there were subsidies a 30% reduction in production costs would decrease imported wood in about 1,1%, which means 50,139 m³ of sawn wood, and it would increase the national production in 2,1%. A 20% reduction in transportation cost would lead to a rise in the national sawn wood production of 3,8%, this is 90 500 m³ in terms of sawn wood; consequently, imported sawn wood would decrease in 2,2%, which means 102 034 m³ of sawn wood. If a 6% tariff above the international price were to be implemented, the national production would increase in about 5,6%, this means 132 355 m³ of sawn wood. This tariff will help to decrease imported wood in about 9,5%, this is 306 923 m³ of sawn wood with respect to those of the 2001-2003 period.

Palavras-chave : Demand; imports; market; spatial equilibrium model; supply.

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