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Papeles de población

versão On-line ISSN 2448-7147versão impressa ISSN 1405-7425

Resumo

CRUZ-PINEIRO, Rodolfo  e  GONZALEZ-BECERRIL, Juan Gabino. Multivariante model to explain the deportations of migrants from the United States to Mexico between 1995 and 2016. Pap. poblac [online]. 2018, vol.24, n.98, pp.103-132. ISSN 2448-7147.  https://doi.org/10.22185/24487147.2018.98.37.

The objective of this article is to analyze the relationship between the deportations of Mexican migrants from the United States with the behavior of the US economy, unemployment in that country and the immigration policy that affects "massive" deportations. To prove this relationship, we used the information from the ICE, the World Bank and the Labor Bureau of the United States to run a multiple regression with the theoretical and empirical relationship of the deportations and the macroeconomic variables included in this work. From the outset it was proved that the evolution of the economy and US unemployment are directly related to deportations from that country. Based on this, decisions are made regarding migration policies that are implemented to achieve this goal.

Palavras-chave : Deportation; economy; unemployment and migration policy.

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