Resumo

HERRERA-GARCIA, Alfonso  e  SANCHEZ-LOPEZ, Orlando. Estimation of the Potential of Medium and High Speed Trains in Mexico Considering the Air Passenger Demand. Ing. invest. y tecnol. [online]. 2015, vol.16, n.2, pp.265-277. ISSN 2594-0732.

It has been detected that in air short-haul up to 500 kilometers distances, the middle and high-speed train services have advantages over the air service. The objective of this research was to estimate the potential of these train services in Mexico considering exclusively the demand that it is generated by the air service. For the preliminary outline of the potential routes, that supports some estimates, a geographic information system was used. It was determined that there is potential often train routes for middle-speed trains and eight train routes for high-speed trains. It is possible to transport in these routes more than four million people annually. In addition, it was detected that these new services would provide other benefits, for instance, in environmental terms the middle and highspeed trains could reduce annually the emission of 213 kt and 248 kt of CO₂ respectively. Also, it was determined that these services could postpone four more years the complete saturation of the Mexico City International Airport; and that the routes equipped for the highspeed service require 27 times higher investments than the middle-speed service.

Palavras-chave : air passenger; geographic information system; high-speed; middle-speed; train.