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Análisis económico

versão On-line ISSN 2448-6655versão impressa ISSN 0185-3937

Resumo

GOMEZ RAMOS, Elsy Lizbeth  e  GUERRERO MARTINEZ, Héctor Adrián. The game of life: an interpretation based in the contagion of euphoria during the formation of speculative bubbles. Anál. econ. [online]. 2019, vol.34, n.86, pp.179-195. ISSN 2448-6655.

Experimental studies have shown evidence that the dynamics in the stock markets generate that some agents encourage high expectations about an asset, as it is understood that it happens in a speculative bubble. Therefore, modeling the contagion of euphoria (expectations) can help to identify behavioral scenarios in a complex environment. The purpose of this research is to perform computer simulations using cellular automata (ACs) to emulate the contagion of euphoria during the formation of a speculative bubble. Specifically, The Game of Life by Conway is proposed as an example to simulate complex dynamics where the displacement of individuals is an essential element. The conclusions indicate that under this proposal only a few investors and a strategic location are required to infect a significant number of market participants.

Palavras-chave : Burbujas especulativas; Autómatas celulares; Contagio; Sistemas compls.

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