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Análisis económico
versão On-line ISSN 2448-6655versão impressa ISSN 0185-3937
Resumo
CHIATCHOUA, Cesaire; GARCIA ALVAREZ, Víctor Fernando e NEME CASTILLO, Omar. Export contribution to poverty reduction in Mexico, 2008-2018. Anál. econ. [online]. 2022, vol.37, n.96, pp.61-77. Epub 31-Out-2022. ISSN 2448-6655. https://doi.org/10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2022v37n96/chiatchoua.
The paper analyses the effect of exports on poverty using dynamic data panel for the 32 states in the period 2008-2018 and considering a non-linear relationship between exports and poverty. It is found that exports tend to reduce poverty, both directly and in combination with public social spending, local market size, remittances, road density and financial depth. Likewise, remittances, public spending, infrastructure, and commercial bank credit to the private sector are factors that contribute to the reduction of this socioeconomic phenomenon. Corruption is estimated to increase poverty, while macroeconomic stability and education do not show significant influence. It is concluded that, given the interest of state governments to reduce poverty, economic and decentralization reforms are needed to realize the potential of exports in poverty reduction.
Palavras-chave : exports; poverty; federal entities; sys-GMM; trade policy.