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Investigación económica

versão impressa ISSN 0185-1667

Resumo

HIDALGO DE LOS SANTOS, Vilma  e  DOIMEADIOS REYES, Yaima. Sostenibilidad fiscal. Prioridad en la agenda de transformaciones del modelo económico cubano. Inv. Econ [online]. 2016, vol.75, n.298, pp.155-184. ISSN 0185-1667.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inveco.2016.11.005.

This paper focuses in fiscal sustainability in the context of the new economic changes in Cuba. Two approaches are used to assess fiscal position. The first one based on Hakkio and Rush cointegration model for the period 1981-2014 (Hakkio and Rush, 1991). The second one supported on fiscal deficit indicators consistent with the goal of stabilizing debt in terms of GDP with series up to 2011. Findings suggested advancing in structural and institutional reforms in order to achieve fiscal sustainability. The need to include a public debt management framework and a set of indicators oriented to reduce vulnerability in order to improve fiscal policy, was also part of the results obtained.

Palavras-chave : Fiscal sustainability; quasi-fiscal activities; institutional framework.

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