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EconoQuantum
versão On-line ISSN 2007-9869versão impressa ISSN 1870-6622
Resumo
SILVA, E. e AGUIRRE, A.. Crossovers between births falls and deaths peaks during the COVID-19 pandemic: the Mexican case. EconoQuantum [online]. 2023, vol.20, n.2, pp.31-51. Epub 17-Maio-2024. ISSN 2007-9869. https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v20i2.7296.
Objective:
To describe patterns of crossovers between births and deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Likewise, using vital statistics to measure delivery falls by mothers' ages.
Methodology:
To identify crossovers Official figures are presented. Predictions from a multivariate time series model are employed to dimension the birth falls in a counterfactual sense.
Results:
It is suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic is the reason for the anticipated crossover occurrence. The negative trend of births suffers a dramatic fall. However, in some cases, there are recoveries.
Limitations:
According to official figures, there may be under-recording of births and deaths due to availability and access to Register offices.
Originality:
To identify the COVID-19 impact on the anticipated occurrence of crossovers and birth falls in a country with previous public health problems.
Conclusions:
It is suggested that the anticipated occurrence of demographic crossovers resulted from the COVID-19 pandemic. The significant fall in the number of births may impacto on an accelerated aging in this country.
Palavras-chave : COVID-19; births; demographic crossovers; deaths; Mexico; J11; J13.