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Investigación administrativa

versão On-line ISSN 2448-7678versão impressa ISSN 1870-6614

Resumo

TINOCO-ZERMENO, Miguel Ángel; TORRES-PRECIADO, Víctor Hugo  e  VENEGAS-MARTINEZ, Francisco. Inflation and Bank Credit. Investig. adm. [online]. 2022, vol.51, n.129, 00002.  Epub 21-Fev-2022. ISSN 2448-7678.  https://doi.org/10.35426/iav51n129.02.

The objective of this paper is to assess empirically the effects of inflation rates on bank credit using panel data of the 32 Mexican states during 2003-2015. Our research method utilizes static models (pooled OLS, fixed effects, and random effects) and dynamic models (mean group, pooled mean group, and dynamic fixed effects) to analyze the relationship in the short and long runs. The main empirical result indicates that inflation rates exert negative effects on credit in the long run, but those effects tend to be positive in the short run. Concerning originality and findings, few papers study inflation and bank credit under macroeconomic stability, or in the case of Mexico with static and dynamic panel data models. However, one research limitation is the lack of data to apply the methodology before 1999 when inflation rates used to be higher. This would be useful to compare macroeconomic stability with instability.

Palavras-chave : bank credit; regional and sector analysis; panel models; E44; R11; C23.

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