Innovation rate of change measurement part 2: Global Innovation Index (GII)

 

Vega-Gonzalez, L.R.

 

Centro de Ciencias Aplicadas y Desarrollo Tecnologico (CCADET), UNAM Circuito Exterior S/N CP 04510, Ciudad Universitaria, Mexico D.F. 52-56228602 ext. 1135, Fax 56228626. e-mail lrvg@servidor.unam.mx

 

Received: September 10^th, 2004.
Accepted: December 12^th, 2005.

 

Abstract

It is generally believed that humanity is in an intense ever-changing process. Changes in information technology favored the globalization of economic and social processes. They have also sparked an increase in the rate of change of diverse processes, machinery manufacturing and technology management. In fact, a dynamic and complex feedback system apparently exists in which the development of radical innovations in information technology promotes the innovation of complementary technology and vice versa. In the second part of this work, we propose the use of the technological platform concept as an indirect measurement method for global innovation. The definition of a non dimensional Global Innovation Index (GII) allows us to determine in a graph the behavior of the global innovative activity. Results coincide with the K-waves proposed by Modelski [41]. Finally, quantitative GII analysis allows us to conclude, by comparison with the phenomena that happened during the second technological revolution, known as the Industrial Revolution, that we are living in a third modern-era Technological Revolution. Perhaps in the future this era will be known as the Information Technology Technological Revolution.

Keywords: Technology Rate of Change, Technology Platform, Global Innovation, Technology Revolution.

 

Resumen

Generalmente se cree que la humanidad se encuentra en un proceso de cambio continuo. Los cambios en la tecnología de la información favorecieron los procesos de globalización económica y social. También propiciaron un incremento en la tasa de cambio de diversos procesos, maquinaria, manufactura y administración tecnológica. En efecto, aparentemente existe un complejo sistema dinámico realimentado en el cual el desarrollo de innovaciones radicales en tecnología de la información, promueven la innovación de tecnología complementaria y viceversa. En la segunda parte de este trabajo proponemos el uso del concepto de plataforma tecnológica como un método de medición indirecta de la innovación global. La definición de un índice de Innovación Global Adimensional (GII, por sus siglas en inglés), nos permite determinar en una gráfica el comportamiento de la actividad innovativa global. Los resultados coinciden con las ondas "K" propuestas por Modelski [41]. Finalmente, el análisis cuantitativo del GII nos permite concluir por comparación con el fenómeno sucedido durante la segunda revolución tecnológica, mejor conocida como la Revolución Industrial, que estamos viviendo en la era de la Tercera Revolución Tecnológica moderna. Tal vez en el futuro esta era sea conocida como la Revolución Tecnológica de las Tecnologías de la Información.

 

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